Venezuela: Challenger, 39, Could Reverse Chavez-led Decline The best thing that could happen to Venezuela, says a prominent Latin America expert, would be for the democratic challenger to win in a free and fair election in October and for the “Chavenistas” who hold power to give it up to a civilian government. Click Here to Read Full Analysis. Bahrain: Opposition Seething One Year After Arab Spring Protests Relations between the ruling Sunnis and majority Shiites in Bahrain are once again tense following the one-year anniversary of last year’s protests that left at least 35 dead and dozens arrested. As Bahrain’s King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa grows impatient with an increasingly restless opposition, there are concerns Iran will take advantage of the unrest and attempt to expand its presence and influence in the country. Click Here to Read Full Analysis. Portugal Will Test Germany’s Austerity Plan for the EU While the announcement last week that Portugal’s exports grew by 12 percent versus last year was welcome news from Lisbon, it cannot disguise the ongoing problems of its beleaguered economy which has contracted for the last five years. With austerity measures imposed as part of its bailout deal with the EU, its burden is even heavier. The stakes are high as Portugal has now become a test case which could determine whether Germany’s austerity plan for the EU as a whole is feasible. Click Here to Read Full Analysis. 
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